DENTON COUNTY: THE SLEEPER MARKET WAKING UP
A Market Analysis for Summer 2025
While everyone watches Dallas and Collin County, smart money is quietly moving into Denton County. Here's why the numbers don't lie:
The Growth Story
- Population Growth: 15% increase since 2020
- New Construction: 2,847 permits issued in 2024
- Employment: Major corporate relocations to the area
- Infrastructure: Expanding DART rail access
Price Point Analysis
| City | Median Price | YoY Change | Days on Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denton | $385,000 | +3.2% | 28 days |
| Flower Mound | $625,000 | +2.8% | 32 days |
| Lewisville | $425,000 | +4.1% | 26 days |
| Frisco (West) | $750,000 | +1.9% | 35 days |
Why Denton County Works
- Affordability Gap: 15-20% less than comparable Collin County homes
- Corporate Migration: Companies choosing Denton for lower costs
- University Influence: UNT and TWU provide stability and culture
- Transportation: I-35E improvements reducing commute times
Market Momentum Indicators
- Inventory: Down 12% from last year
- New Listings: Up 8% month-over-month
- Price Appreciation: Steady 3-4% annually
- Buyer Activity: First-time buyers up 15%
The Forecast: Denton County is positioned for sustained growth. While Dallas cools and Collin County peaks, Denton offers the sweet spot of affordability and appreciation potential.
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